Concordia Lutheran
Boys - Girls
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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State Rank #22
New Haven Semi-State Rank #4
West Noble Regional Rank #3
Northrop Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 21st place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 3.9%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.




Season Rating Huntington North Invitational Defiance Early Bird Open Bruin Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/19 8/26 9/9 9/16 9/23 9/30 10/7 10/14 10/21 10/28
Team Rating 351 325 382 365 386 404 441 370 361 299 365
Team Adjusted Rating 325 382 365 386 350 441 370 361 299 365
State RankRunnerSeason Rating Huntington North Invitational Defiance Early Bird Open Bruin Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Academies Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
20  Reece Gibson 10 15:54 15:44 15:56 16:03 15:56 15:46 16:10 15:48 16:16 15:42 16:00
115  Matthew Ruppert 12 16:39 16:23 16:47 16:41 16:30 16:34 17:02 16:45 16:47 16:31 16:36
183  Drake Kropf 10 16:52 16:50 17:07 17:04 16:48 17:10 17:31 17:07 16:55 16:40 16:48
304  Daniel Hein 12 17:10 17:02 17:23 17:06 17:11 17:01 17:14 17:11 17:13 17:05 17:15
425  Kalen Schlegel 10 17:26 17:32 17:19 17:26 18:01 17:26 17:25 17:09 17:13 18:49
609  Luke Bentz 9 17:44 18:03 18:09 18:45 18:06 18:31 18:26 17:55 18:21 17:37
896  Evan Kropf 12 18:08 18:45 18:28 18:37 18:26 18:28 18:43 18:01
1,335  Eliot Loechner 9 18:40 19:00 18:55 18:30 18:28
Nathan Pennekamp 9 19:20 19:17 19:37 18:57 19:16 19:29




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 17.8 422 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.8 2.7 3.1 3.6 5.2 7.3 9.2 9.2 9.4 9.5 10.1 10.8 7.4 5.8 3.2
Semi-State 100% 4.9 166 0.1 5.6 15.5 23.0 22.1 15.9 11.6 5.0 1.3 0.2
Regionals 100% 3.9 106 0.1 8.8 33.5 29.3 16.5 9.1 2.9
Sectionals 100% 2.8 73 9.0 36.5 32.5 15.4 6.1 0.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reece Gibson 100% 17.9 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.3 1.9 1.7 2.2 2.4 2.8 3.5 3.7 5.0 3.5 4.2 4.2 4.6 3.6 4.8 4.3 3.9 3.8 3.9 3.4 3.0 2.2 99.9%
Matthew Ruppert 100% 101.4 0.1 25.1%
Drake Kropf 100% 128.3 4.7%
Daniel Hein 100% 158.9 0.0%
Kalen Schlegel 100% 177.7 0.0%
Luke Bentz 100% 191.4 0.0%
Evan Kropf 100% 202.9 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reece Gibson 100% 4.2 5.5 9.3 15.4 15.4 19.9 15.5 10.0 4.5 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Matthew Ruppert 100% 26.8 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.4 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.6 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.0 3.6 3.1 2.8 3.4 2.6 2.8 2.4 99.0%
Drake Kropf 100% 44.7 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.7 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.4 1.4 1.3 90.2%
Daniel Hein 100% 72.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 41.4%
Kalen Schlegel 100% 92.0 6.8%
Luke Bentz 100% 117.4 0.1%
Evan Kropf 100% 143.7 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reece Gibson 100% 2.9 7.8 17.9 26.7 35.7 9.6 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Matthew Ruppert 100% 13.0 0.1 0.9 3.9 6.3 6.2 6.1 7.5 7.9 5.5 5.9 7.6 6.8 6.8 6.1 4.2 3.6 3.5 2.9 2.0 1.3 1.4 0.5 100.0%
Drake Kropf 100% 19.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.4 2.1 2.1 2.6 3.1 3.8 4.4 4.9 5.4 6.3 6.6 6.9 5.5 5.4 6.0 5.7 4.0 100.0%
Daniel Hein 100% 32.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.7 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.2 2.2 3.1 3.9 99.9%
Kalen Schlegel 100% 45.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 96.3%
Luke Bentz 100% 60.3 66.7%
Evan Kropf 100% 69.2 10.3%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Reece Gibson 1.3 29.8 58.2 10.9 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1
Matthew Ruppert 7.2 1.8 9.2 12.7 11.8 12.7 11.4 9.3 9.1 6.9 4.7 3.3 2.6 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Drake Kropf 11.7 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.7 4.5 5.3 7.6 9.2 9.9 10.7 9.3 8.0 6.8 6.2 4.3 3.8 2.4 1.9 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.7 0.3
Daniel Hein 19.7 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.5 2.3 3.3 3.6 5.0 5.9 7.5 6.8 7.3 7.8 7.1 5.4 6.1 4.7 3.5
Kalen Schlegel 29.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 1.2 1.4 2.1 2.4 3.2 3.2 4.0 4.4 5.3
Luke Bentz 39.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6
Evan Kropf 46.0